Pafos vs FC Salzburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pafosvs
FC SalzburgThe model puts FC Salzburg at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pafos have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FC Salzburg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pafos have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- FC Salzburg is priced at 2.475.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pafos at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts FC Salzburg at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Pafos is priced at 2.875. The draw is priced at 3.32. FC Salzburg is priced at 2.475.
Pafos have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pafos have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. FC Salzburg have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pafos or FC Salzburg?
Our model rates FC Salzburg as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pafos vs FC Salzburg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Pafos wins, 0 draws, 0 FC Salzburg wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.