Rangers vs Jagiellonia Bialystok: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rangersvs
Jagiellonia BialystokThe model puts Rangers at 60%. The model leans toward Rangers. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jagiellonia Bialystok have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rangers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rangers is priced at 1.53.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rangers at 60%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Jagiellonia Bialystok at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rangers. Rangers is priced at 1.53. The draw is priced at 4.28. Jagiellonia Bialystok is priced at 6.05.
Rangers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Jagiellonia Bialystok have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rangers or Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Our model rates Rangers as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rangers vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Rangers wins, 0 draws, 0 Jagiellonia Bialystok wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.