Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Shabab Riyadhvs
Al-QadisiyahThe model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 54%. The model leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al Shabab Riyadh.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Shabab Riyadh have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Qadisiyah have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al Shabab Riyadh have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.636.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Shabab Riyadh at 21%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Al-Qadisiyah at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al-Qadisiyah. Al Shabab Riyadh is priced at 5.45. The draw is priced at 3.635. Al-Qadisiyah is priced at 1.636.
Al Shabab Riyadh have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Al-Qadisiyah have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Shabab Riyadh have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Qadisiyah have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Shabab Riyadh or Al-Qadisiyah?
Our model rates Al-Qadisiyah as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Al Shabab Riyadh wins, 4 draws, 6 Al-Qadisiyah wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Ettifaq Dammam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Al Hazm Rass | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Al Nassr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Al-Qadisiyah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Al-Taawon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Al-Faisaly Harmah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Khaleej | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Riyadh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Neom SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Draih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Al Feiha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Al Kholood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.