Everton vs Lille OSC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Evertonvs
Lille OSCThe model puts Everton at 47%. The model leans toward Everton. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lille OSC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Everton is priced at 2.008.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Everton at 47%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Lille OSC at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Everton. Everton is priced at 2.008. The draw is priced at 3.78. Lille OSC is priced at 3.44.
Everton have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Lille OSC have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lille OSC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Everton or Lille OSC?
Our model rates Everton as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Everton vs Lille OSC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Everton wins, 1 draws, 1 Lille OSC wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.