Tottenham Hotspur vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tottenham Hotspurvs
TSG 1899 HoffenheimThe model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 46%. The model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tottenham Hotspur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 2.016.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 46%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 2.016. The draw is priced at 3.64. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 3.54.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Tottenham Hotspur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tottenham Hotspur or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tottenham Hotspur vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Tottenham Hotspur wins, 0 draws, 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.