Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Telstarvs
Sparta RotterdamThe model puts Telstar at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sparta Rotterdam.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Telstar have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Telstar have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Telstar is priced at 2.416.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Telstar at 38%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Sparta Rotterdam at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Telstar is priced at 2.416. The draw is priced at 3.58. Sparta Rotterdam is priced at 2.78.
Telstar have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Sparta Rotterdam have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Telstar have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Telstar or Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model rates Telstar as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 6 Telstar wins, 3 draws, 4 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Fortuna Sittard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 |  PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 |  PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  N.E.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.