Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Moscowvs
Rodina MoscowThe model puts Dynamo Moscow at 71%. The model leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Rodina Moscow are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Moscow will be without Lunev.
- Rodina Moscow will be without Sokol Ar., Fishchenko R..
- Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.345.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 71%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Rodina Moscow at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Dynamo Moscow. Dynamo Moscow is priced at 1.345. The draw is priced at 5.4. Rodina Moscow is priced at 7.9.
Dynamo Moscow average 2 goals per game this season. Dynamo Moscow average 67% possession. Rodina Moscow average 1 goals per game this season. Rodina Moscow average 37% possession.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Moscow or Rodina Moscow?
Our model rates Dynamo Moscow as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Dynamo Moscow
- 1Rasulov
- 4Caceres
- 8Rubens
- 10Bitello
- 11Gomes Lourenco A.
- 55Osipenko M.
- 57Da Silva
- 60Marinkin
- 70Tyukavin
- 74Fomin D.
- 91Gladyshev
- Lunev (Missing Player)
Rodina Moscow
- 8Pozo
- 9Maksimenko Ar.
- 10Reyna Y.
- 13Volkov
- 17Bakaev S.
- 26Meschaninov
- 49Dyatlov
- 55Krizan
- 72Gordyushenko
- 74Мушкарин
- 99Tymoshenko
- Sokol Ar. (Missing Player)
- Fishchenko R. (Questionable)
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Krasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 |  CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 |  Zenit Saint Petersburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 7 |  Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 8 |  Akhmat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 9 |  Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 10 |  Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 11 | Dynamo Moscow | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 13 |  Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 14 |  Fakel Voronezh | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 |  Krylia Sovetov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 16 |  Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.