VfL Osnabruck vs 1. Magdeburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VfL Osnabruckvs
1. MagdeburgThe model puts 1. Magdeburg at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours 1. Magdeburg (3-2-10).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 1. Magdeburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabruck have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VfL Osnabruck at 36%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts 1. Magdeburg at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. VfL Osnabruck is priced at 2.53. The draw is priced at 3.64. 1. Magdeburg is priced at 2.49.
VfL Osnabruck have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. 1. Magdeburg have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
VfL Osnabruck have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. 1. Magdeburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VfL Osnabruck or 1. Magdeburg?
Our model rates 1. Magdeburg as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VfL Osnabruck vs 1. Magdeburg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 VfL Osnabruck wins, 2 draws, 10 1. Magdeburg wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Energie Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  1. Heidenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Karlsruher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Holstein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 |  Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Greuther Furth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 | VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  VfL Bochum | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 | 1. Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.