Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al-Hussein: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pakhtakor Tashkentvs
Al-HusseinThe model puts Pakhtakor Tashkent at 53%. The model leans toward Pakhtakor Tashkent. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Pakhtakor Tashkent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pakhtakor Tashkent is priced at 1.816.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pakhtakor Tashkent at 53%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Al-Hussein at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Pakhtakor Tashkent. Pakhtakor Tashkent is priced at 1.816. The draw is priced at 3.82. Al-Hussein is priced at 4.16.
Pakhtakor Tashkent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 30% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pakhtakor Tashkent or Al-Hussein?
Our model rates Pakhtakor Tashkent as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al-Hussein?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.