Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al Jazira Abu Dhabivs
Al-Ittihad JeddahThe model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 50%. The model leans toward Al-Ittihad Jeddah. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al Jazira Abu Dhabi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah is priced at 1.89.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 24%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Al-Ittihad Jeddah at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Al-Ittihad Jeddah. Al Jazira Abu Dhabi is priced at 4.06. The draw is priced at 3.6. Al-Ittihad Jeddah is priced at 1.89.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al Jazira Abu Dhabi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Ittihad Jeddah have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi or Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Our model rates Al-Ittihad Jeddah as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi wins, 2 draws, 0 Al-Ittihad Jeddah wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.