Los Angeles vs Queretaro: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Los Angeles at 71%. The model leans toward Los Angeles. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Los Angeles.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Los Angeles have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Los Angeles is priced at 1.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Los Angeles at 71%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Queretaro at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Los Angeles. Los Angeles is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 5. Queretaro is priced at 7.5.
Los Angeles have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Los Angeles are on 2 wins in a row. Queretaro have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Los Angeles or Queretaro?
Our model rates Los Angeles as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Los Angeles vs Queretaro?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 3 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 3 | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 | |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.