Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Orlando Cityvs
Atletico San LuisThe model puts Orlando City at 61%. The model leans toward Orlando City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Orlando City.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Orlando City have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Orlando City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Orlando City is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Orlando City at 61%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Atletico San Luis at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Orlando City. Orlando City is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 4.45. Atletico San Luis is priced at 4.835.
Orlando City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Orlando City have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Orlando City or Atletico San Luis?
Our model rates Orlando City as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Orlando City wins, 0 draws, 0 Atletico San Luis wins.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Leon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Juarez | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Tigres de la UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Toluca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 9 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 |  Atlante | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 11 |  Guadalajara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Pumas UNAM | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 13 |  Tijuana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Club Necaxa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 0 |
| 17 |  Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 18 |  Puebla | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.