Monterrey vs Nashville: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Monterreyvs
NashvilleThe model puts Nashville at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Monterrey have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nashville have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nashville is priced at 2.15.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Monterrey at 32%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Nashville at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Nashville. Monterrey is priced at 3. The draw is priced at 3.64. Nashville is priced at 2.15.
Nashville have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Monterrey have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nashville have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Monterrey or Nashville?
Our model rates Nashville as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Monterrey vs Nashville?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Monterrey wins, 0 draws, 1 Nashville wins.
League table
North American. Leagues Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Leon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Juarez | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Tigres de la UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Toluca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 9 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 |  Atlante | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 11 |  Guadalajara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Pumas UNAM | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 13 |  Tijuana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Club Necaxa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:8 | 0 |
| 17 |  Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 18 |  Puebla | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.