Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hannover 96vs
VfL WolfsburgThe model puts Hannover 96 at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hannover 96.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hannover 96 (7-6-2).
- +VfL Wolfsburg are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hannover 96 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VfL Wolfsburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hannover 96 will be without Ghita V.E..
- VfL Wolfsburg will be without Trevor Chidubem Benedict, Dardai, Hensel, Amoura, Wellenreuther, Vranckx, Oliveira da Silva R., Цейнтер, Eriksen.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hannover 96 at 44%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts VfL Wolfsburg at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hannover 96 is priced at 2.41. The draw is priced at 3.55. VfL Wolfsburg is priced at 2.66.
Hannover 96 have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. VfL Wolfsburg have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hannover 96 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. VfL Wolfsburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hannover 96 or VfL Wolfsburg?
Our model rates Hannover 96 as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Hannover 96 wins, 6 draws, 2 VfL Wolfsburg wins.
Odds movement
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Energie Cottbus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  1. Heidenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Karlsruher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Holstein | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 |  Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Greuther Furth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  VfL Bochum | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 |  Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 18 |  1. Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.