Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sheffield Wednesdayvs
Wolverhampton WanderersThe model puts Wolverhampton Wanderers at 62%. The model leans toward Wolverhampton Wanderers. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Wolverhampton Wanderers.
- +The head-to-head record favours Wolverhampton Wanderers (2-3-10).
- +Sheffield Wednesday are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Wolverhampton Wanderers are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheffield Wednesday have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheffield Wednesday have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sheffield Wednesday will be without Brown, Guilherme Siqueira, McGee, Bernard Di., Лоингола, Onyango T..
- Wolverhampton Wanderers will be without Bellegarde, Krejci 1999, Mosquera, Said, Trippier.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheffield Wednesday at 17%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Wolverhampton Wanderers at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Wolverhampton Wanderers. Sheffield Wednesday is priced at 5.55. The draw is priced at 4.08. Wolverhampton Wanderers is priced at 1.592.
Sheffield Wednesday have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sheffield Wednesday have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Wolverhampton Wanderers have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Sheffield Wednesday average 1 goals per game this season. Sheffield Wednesday average 45% possession. Wolverhampton Wanderers average 3 goals per game this season. Wolverhampton Wanderers average 69% possession.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheffield Wednesday or Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Our model rates Wolverhampton Wanderers as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Sheffield Wednesday wins, 3 draws, 10 Wolverhampton Wanderers wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.