Walsall vs Leyton Orient: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Walsallvs
Leyton OrientThe model puts Leyton Orient at 46%. The model leans toward Leyton Orient. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Leyton Orient.
- +The head-to-head record favours Leyton Orient (2-6-7).
- +Walsall are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Leyton Orient are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Walsall have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leyton Orient have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Walsall have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Walsall will be without Leak, Pattison Al., Williams.
- Leyton Orient will be without Boniface, Clare S..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Walsall at 30%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Leyton Orient at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Leyton Orient. Walsall is priced at 3.14. The draw is priced at 3.58. Leyton Orient is priced at 2.192.
Walsall have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Leyton Orient have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Walsall have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Leyton Orient have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Leyton Orient are on 2 wins in a row.
Walsall average 1 goals per game this season. Walsall average 28% possession. Leyton Orient average 2 goals per game this season. Leyton Orient average 51% possession.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Walsall or Leyton Orient?
Our model rates Leyton Orient as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Walsall vs Leyton Orient?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Walsall wins, 6 draws, 7 Leyton Orient wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.