Universidad Catolica Santiago vs Estudiantes de La Plata: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Universidad Catolica Santiagovs
Estudiantes de La PlataThe model puts Universidad Catolica Santiago at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Universidad Catolica Santiago have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estudiantes de La Plata have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Universidad Catolica Santiago is priced at 2.656.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Universidad Catolica Santiago at 36%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Estudiantes de La Plata at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Universidad Catolica Santiago is priced at 2.656. The draw is priced at 3.015. Estudiantes de La Plata is priced at 2.9.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Universidad Catolica Santiago have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Estudiantes de La Plata have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Universidad Catolica Santiago or Estudiantes de La Plata?
Our model rates Universidad Catolica Santiago as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Universidad Catolica Santiago vs Estudiantes de La Plata?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Universidad Catolica Santiago wins, 1 draws, 0 Estudiantes de La Plata wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.