Juarez vs Club America: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Juarezvs
Club AmericaThe model puts Club America at 51%. The model leans toward Club America. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Juarez (9-3-3).
- +Juarez are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Club America are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Juarez have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club America have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juarez have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Juarez will be without Ayon, Romero, Romero.
- Club America will be without Malagon L., Zendejas, Davila V..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Juarez at 26%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Club America at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Club America. Juarez is priced at 4.135. The draw is priced at 3.8. Club America is priced at 1.76.
Juarez have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Club America have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Juarez have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club America have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Juarez or Club America?
Our model rates Club America as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Juarez vs Club America?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Juarez wins, 3 draws, 3 Club America wins.
Match statistics
Juarez
- 1Jurado Roca
- 3Murillo J.
- 5Garcia
- 8Guilherme Castilho Carvalho
- 9de Souza Silva
- 10Torres
- 11Rodriguez J.L.
- 19Estupinan O.
- 20Aquino Jav.
- 23Ortega
- 33Nevarez Pulgarin
- Ayon (Missing Player)
- Romero (Questionable)
- Romero (Missing Player)
Club America
- 4Caceres
- 7Rodriguez Bra.
- 9Martin
- 12Violante
- 13Cervantes A.
- 23Veiga
- 26Borja C.
- 27Icaro
- 29Juarez R.
- 30Cota Rod.
- 34Espinosa
- Malagon L. (Missing Player)
- Zendejas (Questionable)
- Davila V. (Missing Player)
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Pumas UNAM | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Puebla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 |  Queretaro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Guadalajara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 10 |  Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 |  Leon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Club Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Atlante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 16 |  Tigres de la UANL | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.