Slovan Bratislava vs Celje: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Slovan Bratislavavs
CeljeThe model puts Slovan Bratislava at 54%. The model leans toward Slovan Bratislava. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Slovan Bratislava have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celje have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Slovan Bratislava is priced at 1.76.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Slovan Bratislava at 54%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Celje at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Slovan Bratislava. Slovan Bratislava is priced at 1.76. The draw is priced at 3.9. Celje is priced at 4.36.
Slovan Bratislava have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Slovan Bratislava have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Bratislava are on 3 wins in a row. Celje have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Celje are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Slovan Bratislava or Celje?
Our model rates Slovan Bratislava as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Slovan Bratislava vs Celje?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Slovan Bratislava wins, 1 draws, 0 Celje wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.