N.E.C. vs Bodo-Glimt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
N.E.C.vs
Bodo-GlimtThe model puts N.E.C. at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Bodo-Glimt.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- N.E.C. have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Bodo-Glimt have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- N.E.C. is priced at 2.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts N.E.C. at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. N.E.C. is priced at 2.34. The draw is priced at 3.68. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 2.82.
N.E.C. have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Bodo-Glimt have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Bodo-Glimt are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 61% for both teams to score. The model gives 60% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, N.E.C. or Bodo-Glimt?
Our model rates N.E.C. as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for N.E.C. vs Bodo-Glimt?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.