Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Sabah Baku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hapoel Be'er Shevavs
Sabah BakuThe model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sabah Baku have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 2.448.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 39%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Sabah Baku at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 2.448. The draw is priced at 3.2. Sabah Baku is priced at 3.005.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Hapoel Be'er Sheva are on 3 wins in a row. Sabah Baku have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Sabah Baku?
Our model rates Hapoel Be'er Sheva as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Sabah Baku?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.