Ipswich Town vs Leicester City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ipswich Townvs
Leicester CityThe model puts Ipswich Town at 62%. The model leans toward Ipswich Town. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ipswich Town.
- −The head-to-head record favours Leicester City (2-6-7).
- −Ipswich Town are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Leicester City are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ipswich Town have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leicester City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ipswich Town will be without Matusiwa, Taylor Ja., Florentino, Cesar Enciso.
- Leicester City will be without Nelson, Chaplin C..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 22 | 10 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ipswich Town at 62%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Leicester City at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ipswich Town. Ipswich Town is priced at 1.512. The draw is priced at 4.46. Leicester City is priced at 5.9.
Ipswich Town have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Leicester City have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ipswich Town have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Ipswich Town are on 5 wins in a row. Leicester City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Leicester City average 1 goals per game this season. Leicester City average 77% possession.
The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ipswich Town or Leicester City?
Our model rates Ipswich Town as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ipswich Town vs Leicester City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Ipswich Town wins, 6 draws, 7 Leicester City wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Ipswich Town
- 0Walton Chr.
- 0Davis Le.
- 0Greaves J.
- 0Kipre C.
- 0Furlong D.
- 0Lukic
- 0Espinoza
- 0Egeli
- 0McAteer
- 0Clarke
- 0Akpom Ch.
- Matusiwa (Missing Player)
- Taylor Ja. (Questionable)
- Florentino (Questionable)
- Cesar Enciso (Questionable)
Leicester City
- 0Stolarczyk J.
- 0McFarlane
- 0Souttar
- 0Okoli J.
- 0Aluko
- 0Choudhury
- 0Watson
- 0Page
- 0Braybrooke
- 0Howell
- 0Reid B.
- Nelson (Missing Player)
- Chaplin C. (Questionable)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.