Udinese Calcio vs Calcio Padova: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Udinese Calcio at 70%. The model leans toward Udinese Calcio. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Udinese Calcio (4-0-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Udinese Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Calcio Padova have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Udinese Calcio have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Udinese Calcio is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Udinese Calcio at 70%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Calcio Padova at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Udinese Calcio. Udinese Calcio is priced at 1.34. The draw is priced at 4.55. Calcio Padova is priced at 9.3.
Udinese Calcio have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Calcio Padova have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Udinese Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Calcio Padova have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Udinese Calcio or Calcio Padova?
Our model rates Udinese Calcio as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Udinese Calcio vs Calcio Padova?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 4 Udinese Calcio wins, 0 draws, 1 Calcio Padova wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.