Catanzaro 1929 vs Sudtirol: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Catanzaro 1929 at 45%. The model leans toward Catanzaro 1929. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Catanzaro 1929 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sudtirol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Catanzaro 1929 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Catanzaro 1929 is priced at 2.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Catanzaro 1929 at 45%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Sudtirol at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Catanzaro 1929. Catanzaro 1929 is priced at 2.08. The draw is priced at 3.22. Sudtirol is priced at 3.55.
Catanzaro 1929 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Sudtirol have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Catanzaro 1929 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sudtirol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Catanzaro 1929 or Sudtirol?
Our model rates Catanzaro 1929 as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Catanzaro 1929 vs Sudtirol?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Catanzaro 1929 wins, 3 draws, 2 Sudtirol wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.