Unione Venezia vs Modena: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Unione Venezia at 62%. The model leans toward Unione Venezia. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Unione Venezia (6-3-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Unione Venezia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Modena have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Unione Venezia have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Unione Venezia is priced at 1.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Unione Venezia at 62%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Modena at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Unione Venezia. Unione Venezia is priced at 1.54. The draw is priced at 4. Modena is priced at 5.75.
Unione Venezia have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Modena have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Unione Venezia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Modena have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Unione Venezia or Modena?
Our model rates Unione Venezia as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Unione Venezia vs Modena?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 6 Unione Venezia wins, 3 draws, 3 Modena wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.