Frosinone Calcio vs Juve Stabia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Frosinone Calciovs
Juve StabiaThe model puts Frosinone Calcio at 63%. The model leans toward Frosinone Calcio. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Juve Stabia (2-3-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Frosinone Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Juve Stabia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Frosinone Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Frosinone Calcio is priced at 1.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Frosinone Calcio at 63%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Juve Stabia at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Frosinone Calcio. Frosinone Calcio is priced at 1.44. The draw is priced at 4.45. Juve Stabia is priced at 6.48.
Frosinone Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Juve Stabia have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Frosinone Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Frosinone Calcio are on 2 wins in a row. Juve Stabia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Frosinone Calcio or Juve Stabia?
Our model rates Frosinone Calcio as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Frosinone Calcio vs Juve Stabia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 2 Frosinone Calcio wins, 3 draws, 4 Juve Stabia wins.
Match statistics
Frosinone Calcio
- 3Calvani
- 7Ghedjemis
- 9Raimondo
- 10Schmid R.
- 14Calo G.
- 16Cichella
- 17Kvernadze
- 20Oyono
- 22Palmisani
- 25Akpoguma
- 30Monterisi
Juve Stabia
- 2Ricciardi
- 4Бальди
- 5Battistella T.
- 6Bellich M.
- 7Patane
- 8Buglio
- 10Pierobon
- 11Piscopo K.
- 23Boer P.
- 27Candellone
- 73Scuderi
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Frosinone Calcio make it count (Kvernadze (20'), Cichella (29'), Raimondo (38')). It's 3–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Frosinone Calcio 3 – 0 Juve Stabia.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Candellone (48'), Kvernadze (71')). Score moves to 4–1.
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 4–1.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.