Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hellas Veronavs
Virtus EntellaThe model puts Hellas Verona at 49%. The model leans toward Hellas Verona. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Virtus Entella (0-0-3).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hellas Verona have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Virtus Entella have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hellas Verona is priced at 1.89.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Hellas Verona at 49%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Virtus Entella at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hellas Verona. Hellas Verona is priced at 1.89. The draw is priced at 3.384. Virtus Entella is priced at 4.08.
Virtus Entella have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hellas Verona have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Virtus Entella have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hellas Verona or Virtus Entella?
Our model rates Hellas Verona as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hellas Verona vs Virtus Entella?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Hellas Verona wins, 0 draws, 3 Virtus Entella wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.