Sassuolo Calcio vs Cesena: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sassuolo Calciovs
CesenaThe model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 58%. The model leans toward Sassuolo Calcio. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cesena (1-2-6).
- −Recent form favours Cesena.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sassuolo Calcio have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cesena have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sassuolo Calcio have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 1.5.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sassuolo Calcio at 58%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Cesena at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sassuolo Calcio. Sassuolo Calcio is priced at 1.5. The draw is priced at 4.3. Cesena is priced at 5.74.
Sassuolo Calcio have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Cesena have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sassuolo Calcio have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Cesena have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sassuolo Calcio or Cesena?
Our model rates Sassuolo Calcio as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sassuolo Calcio vs Cesena?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 1 Sassuolo Calcio wins, 2 draws, 6 Cesena wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.