Cremonese vs Sampdoria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cremonesevs
SampdoriaThe model puts Cremonese at 49%. The model leans toward Cremonese. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Cremonese (6-6-3).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cremonese have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sampdoria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cremonese have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cremonese is priced at 1.99.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Cremonese at 49%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Sampdoria at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Cremonese. Cremonese is priced at 1.99. The draw is priced at 3.25. Sampdoria is priced at 3.79.
Cremonese have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Sampdoria have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cremonese have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cremonese are on 2 wins in a row. Sampdoria have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cremonese or Sampdoria?
Our model rates Cremonese as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cremonese vs Sampdoria?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Cremonese wins, 6 draws, 3 Sampdoria wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.