Al-Hilal Riyadh vs Al-Faisaly Harmah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Hilal Riyadhvs
Al-Faisaly HarmahThe model puts Al-Hilal Riyadh at 81%. The model leans toward Al-Hilal Riyadh. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Al-Faisaly Harmah.
- +The head-to-head record favours Al-Hilal Riyadh (11-4-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Hilal Riyadh have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Faisaly Harmah have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Hilal Riyadh have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Hilal Riyadh is priced at 1.124.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Hilal Riyadh at 81%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Al-Faisaly Harmah at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Al-Hilal Riyadh. Al-Hilal Riyadh is priced at 1.124. The draw is priced at 8.75. Al-Faisaly Harmah is priced at 15.
Al-Hilal Riyadh have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al-Hilal Riyadh have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Faisaly Harmah have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Al-Faisaly Harmah are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 27% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Hilal Riyadh or Al-Faisaly Harmah?
Our model rates Al-Hilal Riyadh as the most likely outcome at 81% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Hilal Riyadh vs Al-Faisaly Harmah?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 Al-Hilal Riyadh wins, 4 draws, 0 Al-Faisaly Harmah wins.
League table
Saudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Ettifaq Dammam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Al Shabab Riyadh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Abha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Al Hazm Rass | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Al Nassr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Al-Qadisiyah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Al-Taawon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Al-Faisaly Harmah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Khaleej | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Riyadh SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Neom SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Draih | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Al Feiha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Al Kholood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.