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India. MFA Cup

Aizawl Academy vs Chanmari: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Aizawl Academy Aizawl AcademyvsChanmari Chanmari
Our predictionAizawl Academy to win
Model score: Medium · 36/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Aizawl Academy at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Aizawl AcademyDraw2 · Chanmari
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.52.38+12.3%
BTTSNo2.59+11.1%
1X2Aizawl Academy2.23+0.5%
1X2Draw3.60-0.2%
1X2Chanmari2.59-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Aizawl Academy
55
Chanmari
52

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
1-010.4%
2-19.0%
0-18.2%
2-07.7%
1-27.2%

Recent form

Aizawl Academy
ChanmariWLL

Expected goals

1.48Aizawl Academy
xG
1.18Chanmari
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Aizawl Academy Chanmari

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Aizawl Academy win2.23Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceAizawl Academy or drawInfo
Total goalsUnder 2.52.38Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07852
1101273
28952
34431
412
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Aizawl Academy at 41%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Chanmari at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Aizawl Academy is priced at 2.23. The draw is priced at 3.6. Chanmari is priced at 2.59.

Chanmari have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Aizawl Academy or Chanmari?

Our model rates Aizawl Academy as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Aizawl Academy vs Chanmari?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.