San Diego vs Colorado Rapids: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
San Diegovs
Colorado RapidsThe model puts San Diego at 52%. The model leans toward San Diego. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +San Diego score more per game (3.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- +San Diego creates more chances (13 vs 8 shots per game).
- +San Diego controls more of the ball (62% vs 56%).
- +The head-to-head record favours San Diego (2-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- San Diego have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Diego have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- San Diego is priced at 1.98.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts San Diego at 52%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Colorado Rapids at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward San Diego. San Diego is priced at 1.98. The draw is priced at 3.94. Colorado Rapids is priced at 3.38.
San Diego have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Colorado Rapids have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
San Diego have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Colorado Rapids have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
San Diego average 3 goals per game this season. San Diego average 62% possession. Colorado Rapids average 1 goals per game this season. Colorado Rapids average 56% possession.
The model gives 66% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, San Diego or Colorado Rapids?
Our model rates San Diego as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for San Diego vs Colorado Rapids?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 San Diego wins, 0 draws, 1 Colorado Rapids wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Houston Dynamo | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:17 | 34 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 35:20 | 34 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 38:27 | 33 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:25 | 29 |
| 6 |  Real Salt Lake | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:26 | 28 |
| 7 |  Dallas | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 27 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 29:25 | 25 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 25 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 33:33 | 24 |
| 11 |  Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 20:22 | 24 |
| 12 | San Diego | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 33:29 | 24 |
| 13 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 14 |  Austin | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22:36 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 18:48 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.