Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletico San Luisvs
PachucaThe model puts Pachuca at 46%. The model leans toward Pachuca. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Pachuca (3-3-9).
- +Recent form favours Pachuca.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pachuca have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pachuca is priced at 2.15.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletico San Luis at 28%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Pachuca at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Pachuca. Atletico San Luis is priced at 3.195. The draw is priced at 3.38. Pachuca is priced at 2.15.
Atletico San Luis have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Pachuca have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Atletico San Luis have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Pachuca have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletico San Luis or Pachuca?
Our model rates Pachuca as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Atletico San Luis wins, 3 draws, 9 Pachuca wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 6 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 7 |  Pumas UNAM | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 8 |  Puebla | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 10 |  Guadalajara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 12 |  Club Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Atlante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Tigres de la UANL | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3:15 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.