Corinthians Paulista vs Rosario Central: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Corinthians Paulistavs
Rosario CentralThe model puts Corinthians Paulista at 49%. The model leans toward Corinthians Paulista. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Corinthians Paulista are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Corinthians Paulista have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rosario Central have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Corinthians Paulista will be without Kayke, Allan R. S, Сантос Диас, Vitinho, Paulista G., Labyad Z., Alberto.
- Rosario Central will be without Duarte.
- Corinthians Paulista is priced at 1.925.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Corinthians Paulista at 49%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Rosario Central at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Corinthians Paulista. Corinthians Paulista is priced at 1.925. The draw is priced at 3.045. Rosario Central is priced at 4.88.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Corinthians Paulista have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Rosario Central have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Corinthians Paulista or Rosario Central?
Our model rates Corinthians Paulista as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Corinthians Paulista vs Rosario Central?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Corinthians Paulista wins, 1 draws, 0 Rosario Central wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Corinthians Paulista
- 1Souza H.
- 2Matheuzinho
- 4Joao Pedro
- 7Bidon
- 8Garro
- 13Henrique G.
- 14Melo R. A.
- 18Pedro Raul Garay da Silva
- 19Andre Carrillo
- 21Bidu M.
- 37Kaio Cesar
- Kayke (Missing Player)
- Allan R. S (Missing Player)
- Сантос Диас (Missing Player)
- Vitinho (Missing Player)
- Paulista G. (Questionable)
- Labyad Z. (Missing Player)
- Alberto (Missing Player)
Rosario Central
- 3Sandez
- 5Ibarra
- 8Campaz J.
- 11Di Maria
- 13Avila
- 20Pizarro V.
- 22Copetti
- 23Ledesma J.
- 26Cantizano G.
- 32Coronel E.
- 46Ovando
- Duarte (Missing Player)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.