Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Crvena Zvezdavs
Viktoria PlzenThe model puts Crvena Zvezda at 54%. The model leans toward Crvena Zvezda. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Viktoria Plzen.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Crvena Zvezda have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Crvena Zvezda is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Crvena Zvezda at 54%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Crvena Zvezda. Crvena Zvezda is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 4.16. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 4.32.
Crvena Zvezda have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Viktoria Plzen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Crvena Zvezda or Viktoria Plzen?
Our model rates Crvena Zvezda as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzen?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.