CS Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat - Armenia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CS Universitatea Craiovavs
Ararat - ArmeniaThe model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 64%. The model leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ararat - Armenia.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- CS Universitatea Craiova have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ararat - Armenia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 1.448.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 64%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Ararat - Armenia at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward CS Universitatea Craiova. CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 1.448. The draw is priced at 4.48. Ararat - Armenia is priced at 7.2.
CS Universitatea Craiova have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ararat - Armenia have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 60% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CS Universitatea Craiova or Ararat - Armenia?
Our model rates CS Universitatea Craiova as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CS Universitatea Craiova vs Ararat - Armenia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.