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Coppa Italia. Serie C

Salernitana 1919 vs Scafatese Calcio 1922: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Salernitana 1919vs Scafatese Calcio 1922
Our predictionSalernitana 1919 to win
Model score: Medium · 46/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Salernitana 1919 at 51%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Salernitana 1919Draw2 · Scafatese Calcio 1922
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Salernitana 1919
61
Scafatese Calcio 1922
43

Most likely scorelines

1-012.7%
2-011.3%
1-110.9%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
3-06.7%

Expected goals

1.78Salernitana 1919
xG
0.86Scafatese Calcio 1922
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Salernitana 1919 Scafatese Calcio 1922

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Salernitana 1919 win1.78Fair
Double chanceSalernitana 1919 or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0763
1131151
2111041
3762
4331
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Salernitana 19191.78+0.4%
1X2Scafatese Calcio 19224.29-0.2%
1X2Draw3.26-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Salernitana 1919 at 51%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Scafatese Calcio 1922 at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Salernitana 1919. Salernitana 1919 is priced at 1.78. The draw is priced at 3.26. Scafatese Calcio 1922 is priced at 4.29.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Salernitana 1919 or Scafatese Calcio 1922?

Our model rates Salernitana 1919 as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Salernitana 1919 vs Scafatese Calcio 1922?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.