Carpi 1909 vs Pianese A.S.D: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Carpi 1909 at 45%. The model leans toward Carpi 1909. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Pianese A.S.D.
- −The head-to-head record favours Pianese A.S.D (1-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Carpi 1909 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pianese A.S.D have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Carpi 1909 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Carpi 1909 is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Carpi 1909 at 45%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Pianese A.S.D at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Carpi 1909. Carpi 1909 is priced at 1.96. The draw is priced at 3.06. Pianese A.S.D is priced at 3.785.
Carpi 1909 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Pianese A.S.D have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Carpi 1909 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Pianese A.S.D have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Carpi 1909 or Pianese A.S.D?
Our model rates Carpi 1909 as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Carpi 1909 vs Pianese A.S.D?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 1 Carpi 1909 wins, 2 draws, 2 Pianese A.S.D wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.