S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso vs U.S.D. Cavese 1919: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- U.S.D. Cavese 1919 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso is priced at 2.36.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso at 39%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts U.S.D. Cavese 1919 at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso is priced at 2.36. The draw is priced at 2.83. U.S.D. Cavese 1919 is priced at 3.09.
S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. U.S.D. Cavese 1919 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. U.S.D. Cavese 1919 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso or U.S.D. Cavese 1919?
Our model rates S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso vs U.S.D. Cavese 1919?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 S.S.D. Citta di Campobasso wins, 0 draws, 1 U.S.D. Cavese 1919 wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.