Scotland vs Switzerland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Scotlandvs
SwitzerlandThe model puts Switzerland at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Switzerland.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Scotland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Switzerland have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Scotland have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Switzerland is priced at 2.27.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Scotland at 29%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Switzerland at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Scotland is priced at 3.025. The draw is priced at 3.25. Switzerland is priced at 2.27.
Scotland have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Switzerland have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Scotland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Switzerland have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Scotland or Switzerland?
Our model rates Switzerland as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Scotland vs Switzerland?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Scotland wins, 3 draws, 2 Switzerland wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.