Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cincinnativs
Seattle SoundersThe model puts Cincinnati at 54%. The model leans toward Cincinnati. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Cincinnati.
- +Cincinnati score more per game (3.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- +Cincinnati creates more chances (16 vs 12 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Cincinnati have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Seattle Sounders have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cincinnati have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cincinnati is priced at 1.936.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cincinnati at 54%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Seattle Sounders at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Cincinnati. Cincinnati is priced at 1.936. The draw is priced at 3.98. Seattle Sounders is priced at 3.48.
Cincinnati have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Seattle Sounders have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cincinnati have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Seattle Sounders have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Cincinnati average 3 goals per game this season. Cincinnati average 52% possession. Seattle Sounders average 1 goals per game this season. Seattle Sounders average 54% possession.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cincinnati or Seattle Sounders?
Our model rates Cincinnati as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Cincinnati wins, 1 draws, 1 Seattle Sounders wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. MLS| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Houston Dynamo | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:17 | 34 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 35:20 | 34 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 38:27 | 33 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:25 | 29 |
| 6 |  Real Salt Lake | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:26 | 28 |
| 7 |  Dallas | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 27 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 29:25 | 25 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 25 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 33:33 | 24 |
| 11 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 20:22 | 24 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 33:29 | 24 |
| 13 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 14 |  Austin | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 22:36 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 18:48 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.