Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Iberia 1999: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jagiellonia Bialystokvs
Iberia 1999The model puts Jagiellonia Bialystok at 71%. The model leans toward Jagiellonia Bialystok. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Jagiellonia Bialystok have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iberia 1999 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jagiellonia Bialystok is priced at 1.345.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jagiellonia Bialystok at 71%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Iberia 1999 at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Jagiellonia Bialystok. Jagiellonia Bialystok is priced at 1.345. The draw is priced at 5.1. Iberia 1999 is priced at 8.7.
Jagiellonia Bialystok have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Iberia 1999 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jagiellonia Bialystok or Iberia 1999?
Our model rates Jagiellonia Bialystok as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Iberia 1999?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.