AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Treviso: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
AC Dolomiti Bellunesivs
TrevisoThe model puts AC Dolomiti Bellunesi at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours AC Dolomiti Bellunesi (2-1-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Treviso have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi is priced at 2.2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts AC Dolomiti Bellunesi at 43%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Treviso at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. AC Dolomiti Bellunesi is priced at 2.2. The draw is priced at 3.02. Treviso is priced at 3.17.
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Treviso have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Treviso have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, AC Dolomiti Bellunesi or Treviso?
Our model rates AC Dolomiti Bellunesi as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for AC Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Treviso?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi wins, 1 draws, 1 Treviso wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
AC Dolomiti Bellunesi make it count (Saccani (32')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1 – 0 Treviso.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.