Calcio Lecco 1912 vs Calcio Desenzano: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Calcio Lecco 1912vs
Calcio DesenzanoThe model puts Calcio Lecco 1912 at 50%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Calcio Lecco 1912 is priced at 1.83.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Calcio Lecco 1912 at 50%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Calcio Desenzano at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Calcio Lecco 1912. Calcio Lecco 1912 is priced at 1.83. The draw is priced at 3.22. Calcio Desenzano is priced at 4.085.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Calcio Lecco 1912 or Calcio Desenzano?
Our model rates Calcio Lecco 1912 as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Calcio Lecco 1912 vs Calcio Desenzano?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.