Latina Calcio vs A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Latina Calciovs
A.S. Ostia Mare Lido CalcioThe model puts Latina Calcio at 45%. The model leans toward Latina Calcio. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Latina Calcio.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Latina Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Latina Calcio have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Latina Calcio is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Latina Calcio at 45%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Latina Calcio. Latina Calcio is priced at 2.12. The draw is priced at 3.02. A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio is priced at 3.355.
Latina Calcio have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Latina Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Latina Calcio are on 2 wins in a row. A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Latina Calcio or A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio?
Our model rates Latina Calcio as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Latina Calcio vs A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Latina Calcio wins, 3 draws, 2 A.S. Ostia Mare Lido Calcio wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.