Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Caykur Rizesporvs
SamsunsporThe model puts Caykur Rizespor at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Caykur Rizespor.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Caykur Rizespor have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Samsunspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Caykur Rizespor have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Caykur Rizespor is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Caykur Rizespor at 44%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Samsunspor at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Caykur Rizespor. Caykur Rizespor is priced at 2.25. The draw is priced at 3.18. Samsunspor is priced at 3.4.
Caykur Rizespor have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Samsunspor have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Caykur Rizespor have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Caykur Rizespor are on 3 wins in a row. Samsunspor have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Caykur Rizespor or Samsunspor?
Our model rates Caykur Rizespor as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Caykur Rizespor wins, 5 draws, 5 Samsunspor wins.
League table
Turkey. SuperLiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Istanbul BFK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 7 |  Goztepe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 8 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Arca Corum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  BB Erzurumspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.