Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Go Ahead Eaglesvs
ADO Den HaagThe model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 57%. The model leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Go Ahead Eagles.
- +The head-to-head record favours Go Ahead Eagles (8-2-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Go Ahead Eagles have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- ADO Den Haag have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Go Ahead Eagles have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.78.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Go Ahead Eagles at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts ADO Den Haag at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Go Ahead Eagles. Go Ahead Eagles is priced at 1.78. The draw is priced at 3.92. ADO Den Haag is priced at 4.22.
Go Ahead Eagles have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. ADO Den Haag have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Go Ahead Eagles have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. ADO Den Haag have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Go Ahead Eagles average 4 goals per game this season. Go Ahead Eagles average 69% possession. ADO Den Haag average 0 goals per game this season. ADO Den Haag average 46% possession.
The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Go Ahead Eagles or ADO Den Haag?
Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Go Ahead Eagles wins, 2 draws, 5 ADO Den Haag wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  N.E.C. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Telstar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Twente | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.