Cambuur vs Feyenoord: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cambuurvs
FeyenoordThe model puts Feyenoord at 72%. The model leans toward Feyenoord. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Feyenoord.
- +The head-to-head record favours Feyenoord (0-0-15).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Cambuur have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Feyenoord have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Feyenoord is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cambuur at 11%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Feyenoord at 72%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Feyenoord. Cambuur is priced at 8.3. The draw is priced at 5.35. Feyenoord is priced at 1.34.
Feyenoord have won 15 of the head-to-head meetings.
Cambuur have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Feyenoord have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Cambuur average 0 goals per game this season. Cambuur average 47% possession. Feyenoord average 1 goals per game this season. Feyenoord average 60% possession.
The model gives 16% for both teams to score. The model gives 16% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cambuur or Feyenoord?
Our model rates Feyenoord as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cambuur vs Feyenoord?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 0 Cambuur wins, 0 draws, 15 Feyenoord wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Netherlands. Eredivisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  N.E.C. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Twente | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 |  ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.