Energie Cottbus vs Greuther Furth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Energie Cottbusvs
Greuther FurthThe model puts Greuther Furth at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Greuther Furth (2-1-9).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Energie Cottbus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greuther Furth have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Energie Cottbus will be without Engelhardt.
- Greuther Furth will be without Zank.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Energie Cottbus at 37%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Greuther Furth at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Energie Cottbus is priced at 2.49. The draw is priced at 3.74. Greuther Furth is priced at 2.48.
Energie Cottbus have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Greuther Furth have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Energie Cottbus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Greuther Furth have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Energie Cottbus average 3 goals per game this season. Energie Cottbus average 45% possession. Greuther Furth average 1 goals per game this season. Greuther Furth average 42% possession.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Energie Cottbus or Greuther Furth?
Our model rates Greuther Furth as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Energie Cottbus vs Greuther Furth?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 2 Energie Cottbus wins, 1 draws, 9 Greuther Furth wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Germany. 2. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nurnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Karlsruher | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 7 |  VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  1. Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 10 |  1. Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Holstein | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 13 |  St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 14 |  1. Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 15 |  Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 17 |  Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 |  VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.