Trabzonspor vs Istanbul BFK: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Trabzonsporvs
Istanbul BFKThe model puts Trabzonspor at 45%. The model leans toward Trabzonspor. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Istanbul BFK.
- +The head-to-head record favours Trabzonspor (9-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Trabzonspor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Istanbul BFK have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Trabzonspor have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Trabzonspor is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Trabzonspor at 45%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Istanbul BFK at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Trabzonspor. Trabzonspor is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 3.56. Istanbul BFK is priced at 3.3.
Trabzonspor have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Istanbul BFK have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Trabzonspor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Istanbul BFK have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Trabzonspor or Istanbul BFK?
Our model rates Trabzonspor as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Trabzonspor vs Istanbul BFK?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Trabzonspor wins, 4 draws, 2 Istanbul BFK wins.
League table
Turkey. SuperLiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amedspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Istanbul BFK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Genclerbirligi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Caykur Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Samsunspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 7 |  Goztepe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 8 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Arca Corum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Kasimpasa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Eyupspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  BB Erzurumspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.